It is anticipated the final peak for Supercycle Wave (V) and thus the Grand Supercycle Bull Market will occur in 2022. While it has long been widely held amongst Elliott Wave Practioners that Supercycle Cycle Wave (IV) ended in 1932, and a Cycle Wave I Bull Market occurred from 1932-1937, I present an alternative in which the entire period from 1929-1949 was a barrier triangle. If correct, this interpretation would explain the failure of the bull market to top in 2000 or 2007, as that period from 2000-2009 would be labeled as an expanded flat correction for Cycle Wave IV, with Cycle Wave V, Supercycle Wave (V), and Grand Supercycle Wave III terminating in 2022.
The projected timing is derived from time ratios of the durations of wave a of (IV) relative to the durations of wave b-c-d-e of Supercycle Wave (IV) as a basis for determining the duration of ensuing waves (b), (c), (d), and (e) of Grand Supercycle Wave IV
Under this scenario, wave (a) would last a Fibonacci 8 years, wave (b) would last a Fibonacci 13 years, wave (c) would last a Fibonacci 13+1 years, wave (d) would last a Fibonacci 13-2 years, and wave (e) would last a Fibonacci 8+1 years. Even assuming a margin of plus or minus 2 years for Fibonacci Durations, the internal wave duration discrepancy from a Fibonacci number of years of the entire structure balances out. Finally, the entire Grand Supercycle bear market would last a Fibonacci 55 years from 2022-2077.
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